Just a reminder, that for today's full card selections & analysis for Aqueduct, merely go back one page.
I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O.
Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None
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Graded Stakes - 11/28 - Del Mar - Matriarch
1.Viadera ( GB )
3.Bodhicitta ( GB )
#3 VIADEA (GB) has gamely won four of her six routes since arriving in the States, and had a boatload of excuses in the other duet: "Blocked, steadied, altered." & "Six wide" when breaking from the twelve hole in Lexington. Best jock in the land grabs the reins this afternoon, and with only six signed on, we wouldn't be surprised to see a perfect journey here. #1 PRINCESS GRACE has done very little wrong in her abbreviated career, and that includes a snappy 3 for 4 mark at today's distance of ground. Leaving beneath because we simply can't use sleepy at a short offering. #2 BODHICITTA (GB) hasn't found the winner's circle in more than 16 months, but her best work has come at this trip, and can land a share if things fall apart a bit. OFF TURF: 6-1-2-5-4
Aqueduct ( Current ): 18-86 ( $126.20 ) Beatable Favorites 1-7 ( 14.3% ) Favorites Win %: 30-86 ( 34.8% ) ( As of Saturday morning )
Graded Stakes ( Current ): 10-68 ( $87.50 ) Beatable Favorites 1-3 ( 33.3% ) Favorites Win %: 31-68 ( 45.6% )
Aqueduct ( Final ): 86-464 ( $989.40 ) Beatable Favorites 5-15( 33.3% ) Favorites Win %: 162-464 ( 34.9% )
Aqueduct Fall ( Final ): 28-175 ( $454.00 ) Beatable Favorites 1-9 ( 11.1% ) Favorites Win % 56-175 ( 32.0% )
Graded Stakes ( Final ): 10-54 ( $122.40 ) Beatable Favorites 0-1 ( 0% ) Favorites Win %: 17-53 ( 32.1% )
All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):
( 2013-2020 Final ) 74-465 ( $703.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-57 ( 31.6% ) Favorite's Win %: 140-414 (33.8%) +/-: -24.3% against a 16.8% takeout
Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Beatable Favorites : 15-68 ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587 ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6% against a 15.6% takeout
Dirt Tracks 2013-21 (All Final):2836-14523 ($24,784.90) Beatable Favorites : 364-1327( 27.4% )Favorite's Win %: 5474-14605 ( 37.5% ) +/-: -14.7% against a 16.7% takeout
Cumulative Stats (All Final): 2921-15091 ($25,602.80) Beatable Favorites : 379-1395( 27.2% )Favorite's Win %: 5637-15192 ( 37.2% ) +/-: -15.1% against a 16.6% takeout